VK on 50MHz and the vagaries of VHF DX

Recently a nearby (30km distant) station worked 3B8 on 50MHz when I could not even hear the 3B8 station. Something about this reminded me of a simple fact about the 6m band. You can be right beside somebody working a DX station and be totally unable to work the DX yourself. You certainly cannot work it if you cannot hear it, and even if you can hear it maybe you will not get a response.

Of course this happens on other bands, but rarely does 30km separate you from a contact. 

And then there are the times when you know from PSK Reporter that you are reaching the DX but they are not replying. When it comes to data modes like FT8 it is likely that the software is deciding who to reply to based on which station it decodes first. You could be the loudest station on the band and be so far down WSJT's list of the next station to work that you will never get a QSO.

These facts do not help me when I think about 3B8. I still have not worked it, and that is also a fact.

And then there is no DX while I am away. Recently I have been in Orleans in France.

GM4FVM with Meteor IPA, pontificating in Orleans

And then even more recently I have been in GI where I met that doyen of dx-peditions and moonbounce, Richard, GI4DOH

GI4DOH's reaction on hearing about GM4FVM's technical progress over the past 45 years

On my QRZ.com page there is the photo of FVM and DOH when they both had hair (45 years ago).

Anyway, the point is that when I am away I am not working DX. So add together the unheard DX, the non-replies and the time when I am away I should not be surprised that places like 3B8 are hard to work on 6m.

Here my beloved statistics come to save me. Various factors cause the chances of me working specific DX to be low. But however low a probability you have, provided it is not zero, there is always a chance that you will work that DX. And the more often you try, the better your chances are.

And thus today I finally worked VK on 50MHz.

50MHz contacts at GM4FVM on 26 October 2024

This does not really fit the category of an opening as the mapping software shows operating time of 0 minutes. That was it - QSO started 09:30.00, QSO finished 09:31.30. 90 seconds, no later QSO to create an operating period. There was another VK6 on who I briefly tried to work in the hope of reaching another new square. Then it dawned on me that I was competing with other amateurs who may never have worked VK, so I let that go.

So for this single contact opening the best DX was VK6NH in OG65, 13871km (a record of course!), new DXCC on 6m (115) and new square (584).

It was very nice to get a very quick LoTW confirmation of the contact though at the same time I got an eQSL confirmation of my 23cm contact with LY2WR. The 6m contact is 8 times further, an excess of more than 12000km. I find it hard to say which I am more moved by, though I suspect that the 23cm contact is the more surprising. Certainly when I started out on both of these bands I never would have expected either contact.

There really is nothing I did which influenced whether I did or did not work VK this morning. Main factor is that I was listening on the band, not gallivanting in GI or F. Then I was in early and was the second GM VK6ND worked. 

The propagation gods were kind to me. Was that Es linking into TEP or F2? My guess is that it was Es linking into TEP because I was hearing LAs and OZs via Es at the same time. I sent my cluster report without a propagation tag (i.e. "unknown") and DXMaps tagged it as "F2". I asked somebody who knows a lot more about propagation than I do and he said that he didn't know and he reckoned nobody else knew either.

Lots of other European stations were calling and did not work VK. Usually it is me in that position. They are probably thinking about how to improve their station to raise their chance of reaching VK, but I think that "chance" is the operative word there. Luck comes in here or, as I tend to put it, chance.

Anyway, if chance prevents me from working 3B8, it has allowed me to work VK6.

That'll do I guess.

After all, if it was simple we would not do it. [You mean if it was simple YOU would not do it, Jim]

73 Jim

GM4FVM